Impact of Climate Variables on COVID-19 Pandemic in Asia: A Systematic Review

Yoerdy Agusmal Saputra, Dewi Susanna, Vernonia Yora Saki

Abstract


COVID-19 has become a global pandemic and threatens public health systems worldwide. Virus transmission can be influenced by several factors, one of which is climatic conditions. Temperature, humidity, precipitation, wind speed, and solar radiation play an important role in the transmission of infectious diseases and are variables that can determine the resistance of the SARS virus. This paper aimed to critically assess and provide evidence-based on the impact of climate variables on COVID-19 cases in Asia based on current knowledge to form the basis of guidelines for health care and prevention efforts. This systematic review used Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA). The articles were searched from ProQuest, Scopus, PubMed, and Springerlink databases. It has been screened 2.784 abstracts, 103 full-text publications, and ultimately included 11 systematic reviews. The review found a consistently positive relationship between climate variables and COVID-19. Average temperature, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and humidity (r = 0.83, 0.94, 0.93, 0.30) were significantly correlated with COVID-19 cases. Temperature, maximum humidity, and population density (adjusted R2 = 0.53, p < 0.05), can be used as references in planning interventions during potential future pandemics. Linear regression framework, high humidity, and high temperature (p < 0.05) significantly reduce the transmission of COVID-19. This systematic review shows that climate plays a role in the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic in Asia.

Keywords


climate change condition, COVID-19, humidity, precipitation, temperature

Full Text:

PDF

References


 1.Kementerian Kesehatan Republik Indonesia. Pedoman pencegahan dan pengendalian coronavirus disease (COVID-19). 5th ed. Aziza L, Aqmarina A, Ihsan M, editors. Kementerian Kesehatan RI. Jakarta:Kementerian Kesehatan RI. 2020 p. 1–214.

 2.Briz-Redón Á, Serrano-Aroca Á. A spatio-temporal analysis for exploring the effect of temperature on COVID-19 early evolution in Spain. Sci Total Environ. 2020 [cited 2020 July 21];728.

 3.Lai CC, Shih TP, Ko WC, Tang HJ, Hsueh PR. Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19): the epidemic and the challenges. Int J Antimicrob Agents. 2020 [cited 2020 July 21];55(3).

 4.World Health Organization. Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19):situation report; 2020.

 5.World Health Organization. Report of the WHO-China joint mission on coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Geneva; 2020 [cited 2020Aug 1].

 6.Park J, Son W, Ryu Y, Choi SB, Kwon O, Ahn I. Effects of temperature, humidity, and diurnal temperature range on influenza incidence in a temperate region. Influenza Other Respi Viruses. 2020 [cited2020 Jul 21];14(1):11–8.

 7.Bao J, Wang Z, Yu C, Li X. The influence of temperature on mortality and its lag effect: a study in four Chinese cities with different latitudes. BioMed Cent Public Heal. 2016 [cited 2020 Jul 21];16(1):1–8.

 8.Oliveiros B, Caramelo L, Ferreira NC, Caramelo F. Role of temperature and humidity in the modulation of the doubling time of COVID-19 cases. medRxiv; 2020 [cited 2020 Jul21].

 9.Adedokun KA, Olarinmoye AO, Mustapha JO, Kamorudeen RT. A close look at the biology of SARS-CoV-2, and the potential influence of weather conditions and seasons on COVID-19 case spread. Infect Dis Poverty. 2020 [cited 2020 Aug 1];9(1).

 10.Sobral MFF, Duarte GB, da Penha Sobral AIG, Marinho MLM, de Souza Melo A. Association between climate variables and global transmission of SARS-CoV-2. Sci Total Environ. 2020;729:138997.

 11.Ratnesar-Shumate S, Williams G, Green B, Krause M, Holland B, Wood S, et al. Simulated sunlight rapidly inactivates SARS-CoV-2 on surfaces. J Infect Dis. 2020;222(2):214–22.

 12.Dalziel BD, Kissler S, Gog JR, Viboud C, Bjørnstad ON, Metcalf CJE. Urbanization and humidity shape the intensity of influenza epidemics in U.S. Cities. Science. 2018;362(6410):75–79.

 13.Page MJ, McKenzie JE, Bossuyt PM, Boutron I, Hoffmann TC, Mulrow CD, et al. The PRISMA 2020 statement: an updated guideline for reporting systematic reviews. BMJ. 2021 [cited 2021 July 11];372.

 14.Sharma P, Singh AK, Agrawal B, Sharma A. Correlation between weather and COVID-19 pandemic in India: an empirical investigation. J Public Aff; 2020.

 15.Rashed EA, Kodera S, Gomez-Tames J, Hirata A. Influence of absolute humidity, temperature and population density on COVID-19 spread and decay durations: multi-prefecture study in Japan. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2020;17(15):5354.

 16.Coşkun H, Yıldırım N, Gündüz S. The spread of COVID-19 virus through population density and wind in Turkey cities. Sci Total Environ. 2020;751:141663.

 17.Haque SE, Rahman M. Association between temperature, humidity, and COVID-19 outbreaks in Bangladesh. Environ Sci Policy. 2020 [cited 2021 Feb 9];114:253–5.

 18.Tosepu R, Gunawan J, Effendy DS, Ahmad LOAI, Lestari H, Bahar H, et al. Correlation between weather and COVID-19 pandemic in Jakarta, Indonesia. Sci Total Environ. 2020;725.

 19.Ahmadi M, Sharifi A, Dorosti S, Jafarzadeh Ghoushchi S, Ghanbari N.Investigation of effective climatology parameters on COVID-19 outbreak in Iran. Sci Total Enviro. 2020;729:138705.

 20.Şahin M. Impact of weather on COVID-19 pandemic in Turkey. Sci Total Environ. 2020 [cited 2020 Jul 29];728:138810.

 21.Ujiie M, Tsuzuki S, Ohmagari N. Effect of temperature on the infectivity of COVID-19. Int J Infect Dis. 2020;95:301–3.

 22.Meo SA, Abukhalaf AA, Alomar AA, Alsalame NM, Al-Khlaiwi T, Usmani AM. Effect of temperature and humidity on the dynamics of daily new cases and deaths due to COVID-19 outbreak in Gulf countries in Middle East Region. Eur Rev Med Pharmacol Sci. 2020;24(13):7524–33.

 23.Ladha N, Bhardwaj P, Charan J, Mitra P, Goyal JP, Sharma P, et al. Association of environmental parameters with COVID-19 in Delhi, India. Indian J Clin Bioche. 2020;35(4):497–501.

 24.Gupta A, Banerjee S, Das S. Significance of geographical factors to the COVID-19 outbreak in India. Model Earth Syst Environ. 2020 p. 1–9.

 25.Shi P, Dong Y, Yan H, Zhao C, Li X, Liu W, et al. Impact of temperature on the dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China. Sci Total Environ. 2020;728(77):138890.

 26.Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The flu season. National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (NCIRD); 2018 [cited 2020 August 1].

 27. Xie J, Zhu Y. Association between ambient temperature and COVID-19 infection in 122 cities from China. Sci Total Environ.

;724:138201.

 28. Bashir MF, Ma B, Bilal, Komal B, Bashir MA, Tan D, et al. Correlation between climate indicators and COVID-19 pandemic in New York, USA. Sci Total Environ. 2020;728:138835.

 29.Jaakkola K, Saukkoriipi A, Jokelainen J, Juvonen R, Kauppila J, Vainio O, et al. Decline in temperature and humidity increases the occurrence of influenza in cold climate. Environ Heal. 2014 [cited2020 August 5];13(22):1–9

 30.Lin K, Fong DY-T, Zhu B, Karlberg J. Environmental factors on the SARS epidemic: air temperature, passage of time and multiplicative effect of hospital infection. Epidemiol Infect. 2005 [cited 2020 Jul 21];134(2):223–30.

 31.Liu J, Zhou J, Yao J, Zhang X, Li L, Xu X, et al. Impact of meteorological factors on the COVID-19 transmission: a multi-city study in China. Sci Total Environ. 2020;726:138513.

 32.Menebo MM. Temperature and precipitation associate with COVID-19 new daily cases: a correlation study between weather and COVID-19 pandemic in Oslo, Norway. Sci Total Environ. 2020 [cited2020 July 29];1–5.

 33.She J, Jiang J, Ye L, Hu L, Bai C, Song Y. 2019 Novel coronavirus of pneumonia in Wuhan, China: emerging attack and management strategies. Clin Transl Med. 2020 [cited 2020 August 5];9(1).

 34.Rosario DKA, Mutz YS, Bernardes PC, Conte-Junior CA. Relationship between COVID-19 and weather: case study in a tropical country. Int J Hyg Environ Health; 2020.

 35.Asyary A, Veruswati M. Sunlight exposure increased COVID-19 recovery rates: a study in the central pandemic area of Indonesia. Sci Total Environ. 2020 [cited 2020 Jul 27];729:1–4.

 36.Miller B. Immune system: your best defense against viruses and bacteria from the common cold to the SARS virus. Selangor Darul Ehsan: Oak Publication Sdn Bhd. 2018 p. 1–34.

 37.Susanna D, Saputra YA, Saki VY. PRISMA Flowchart for Impact of climate Variables on COVID-19 Pandemic in Asia: A Systematic Review. 2021 [cited 2021 Jul 28]. p. 1.

 38. Susanna D, Saputra YA, Saki VY. PRISMA check-list for Impact of Climate Variables on COVID-19 Pandemic in Asia: A Systematic Review [Internet]. 28 July 2021. 2021 [cited 2021 Jul 28]. p. 1.




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.21109/kesmas.v0i0.5211

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.